how do bye week odds work in nfl betting


What is a bye week in the NFL?

Oct 18, 2021 · NFL Bye Week Betting Strategy. It seems that Tucker’s thoughts on how teams are affected by the bye week are borne out in the numbers. Last season, teams went 17-15 straight up and 14-18 against the spread in their first game after the bye. In the last three seasons, teams are 44-52 SU and 41-53-2 ATS.. In the last 10 seasons, teams are 160-158-2 SU and 155-155-10 …

When is the best time to bet on sports betting?

On the weekly schedule, look closely at the games involving teams that have a bye the following week. Determine which direction the arrow is pointing for the team. Those that are pointing up could be solid bets, especially if they’re facing struggling teams or lesser competition.

How do sports betting odds work?

Oct 13, 2021 · There are some key points to cover when handicapping NFL bye weeks, and bettors should always measure the odds against those circumstances. Injuries are priority No. 1 when handicapping any team…

What happens if you get a first-round bye in the NFL?

Oct 19, 2016 · The nature of an opponent faced after a bye week plays an important role as to whether a team will perform well or badly following the extra rest. Bye weeks are most welcome, and generally considered more effective when handicapping NFL odds, when they come during the second half of the season.


What percentage of NFL teams win after a bye week?

Blowouts after a bye They haven’t just been winning, either. They’ve been dominating. Since 2017, teams coming off a first-round bye have posted a 9-5 ATS record (64.3%) and won 12 of 14 outright (85.7%). Six of those 12 victories came by at least 13 points, and none were decided by fewer than five points.Jan 20, 2022

How are NFL bye weeks determined?

For example, the league tries to limit the number of times a team that played the week before has to face a team coming off its bye. The schedule makers also consider where a team’s bye week fell in past seasons. A team with an early bye week one year will receive consideration for a later bye week the next season.

How do you read NFL odds over?

The over/under is a single number that’s usually listed for football games, and the number refers to the total number of points both teams score. If you think the teams will score more points than the number listed, then bet over. Otherwise, if you think the team will score less, bey under the number listed.

Do teams perform better after a bye?

Twenty times so far a team came off of their bye week to face a team that has just played the week before. In those 20 games, the record was 12-8, which is slightly better winning percentage of .

Do NFL teams practice on bye weeks?

On bye weeks, teams may choose to practice Monday-Wednesday before players are given the remainder of the week off. This allows additional time in the middle of the season for rest.

What does bye week mean in the NFL?

In the National Football League, for example, each team is scheduled to have one week near the middle of the season where they do not play a game. That week is termed a bye week.

What is the most winning odds in football?

The biggest single football bet ever landed was on the famous 5,000/1 offered by bookmakers on Leicester City winning the Premier League in 2015-16.Apr 8, 2020

What does a +7 spread mean?

What does +7 spread mean? If the spread is seven points for a game, it means the underdog is getting seven points, noted as +7 on the odds. A team posted at -7 is the favorite and is laying seven points.May 27, 2020

What happens if you bet $100 on a money line?

If you bet $100 on a -130 moneyline favorite (lower risk), you could win $77 (plus your original $100 wager). If you bet $100 on a +110 moneyline underdog, you could win $110 (plus your original $100 wager). You must be cautious of the size of the moneylines you bet and how much they return.

Are bye weeks good?

bye week is very important for teams and players. Teams that have older players tend to want bye weeks later into the season to allow their players to rest and recover before the final push for the playoffs. Some football coaches such as Woodie Haynes claim that bye weeks can throw off a hot team on a win streak.

When did NFL bye weeks start?

In 1990, the NFL re-introduced a bye week to the schedule, which it had not had since 1966. Each team played sixteen regular season games over seventeen weeks. During the season, on a rotating basis, each team would have the weekend off. As a result, opening weekend was moved up to Labor Day weekend.

NFL bye week basics

With the NFL expanding to an 18-week schedule in 2021, the league hands out bye weeks between Weeks 6 and 14.

Handicapping NFL teams coming off a bye week

There are some key points to cover when handicapping NFL bye weeks, and bettors should always measure the odds against those circumstances.

NFL bye week betting tips and strategies

A brief break in the action can be a blessing or a curse to some teams, and NFL bettors will want to examine how the bye week can impact the results closely. Here are some NFL bye week betting tips and strategies to keep in mind for these situations:

Teams to bet on

Sizing up the 2021 NFL schedule, we can find a few teams that could be solid bets coming out of their bye weeks:

Teams to avoid

The bye week isn’t always a good thing and could spell doom for these teams coming off a break at the wrong time:

Follow the odds

Once you’ve identified a bye-week game you want to bet on, use our NFL odds comparison tool to track the odds of your teams across multiple books to get the most favorable odds for your bet.

What is a bye week in the NFL?

The NFL gives each team a week off with no games every season between Weeks 6 and 14 of the season. This week off is referred to as a “bye week.”

What you Need to Know about Betting Before or After NFL Bye Week

For starters, NFL bye weeks are usually scheduled between Week 4 and Week 10, so if you are looking to capitalize on the NFL bye week betting strategy, this is the time you should pay keen attention to the NFL lines.

Using the Bye Week as a Betting Strategy

As we’ve glimpsed above, teams that are more talented tend to benefit the most from the bye, given that the players and coaches will most likely work better on patching up their weaknesses and preparing better for their upcoming opponents.

Rejoinder on NFL Bye Week Betting Strategy

As has been explained above, bye weeks can offer some sweet value options for bettors. But as a cardinal rule, always ensure that you also consider the opponent that one is matched up against after the bye.

Fantasy Football Bye Week Schedules

The NFL season is the most popular time for sports betting. With a complete week of buildup before kickoff, the season lends itself to plenty of talk, debate, analysis, and wagering research. Each team has NFL bye weeks built into its schedule throughout the season (and a few during the playoffs).

Why do NFL bye weeks exist?

The NFL season now features 17 regular season games for each team. From 1990-2020, each team had played 16 regular season games and had had one bye week throughout the course of the campaign.

How are NFL bye weeks decided?

Teams traveling after a bye tend to have an advantage since it gives them a longer time to prepare and recuperate for next game.

Fantasy football bye weeks

Your board is ready and you’ve done plenty of research. It’s time for that fantasy football draft. The plan is to dominate your buddies and rule the league – hopefully with a big payoff.

Why paying attention to bye weeks is important for betting

Tracking bye weeks may offer some wagering value and it’s an important aspect to consider when placing those bets.

Rust Factor

Football is a brutal sport, as we are reminded time and time again every season. In order for teams to operate at peak efficiency, they need as many key players healthy as possible. It’s no panacea, but rest and relaxation can go a long way toward making sure players are fit and ready to roll come gameday.

Most Favorites Still Win

While teams that earn a first-round bye aren’t infallible, most still wind up advancing to the conference championship round. Home field advantage plays a huge role, of course. It also helps to be playing against a team that just played another game the previous week.

Non-Wild Card Winners

While most don’t necessarily go on to win the Super Bowl, there have still been plenty of non-Wild Card teams that played on Wild Card Weekend go on to win it all in recent years. From 2010 through 2014, 3 of the 5 teams to win the Super Bowl did play on the first weekend of the playoffs.


The NFL realigned into 8 divisions with 4 teams apiece when the Houston Texans joined the league in 2002. Since then, just 8 teams that played in the Wild Card round wound up advancing to the Super Bowl. They were the 03 Panthers, 05 Steelers, 06 Colts, 07 and 11 Giants, 08 Cardinals, 10 Packers and 12 Ravens. 6 of those teams won it all.

What is betting against the odds?

Betting Against the Odds. In some instances, betting against the odds is an advantage to sports bettors. You are betting against the odds when you bet on the underdog, where your potential profit is more significant than your stake.

What is the first thing to understand when it comes to sports betting?

One of the first things to understand when it comes to sports betting is the odds. Whether you’re a novice or a pro sports bettor, it is important that you can understand and interpret all types of odds well. Odds show the probability or the likelihood of one particular outcome happening in a sporting event.

What is vig in sports betting?

This vig, also called sports betting juice, is the sportsbook’s commission from every bet placed on sporting events. Odds are closely linked to the probability of a bet winning. Probabilities usually vary between 5% and 10%, although the standard vig is 10%.

What is the difference between a favorite and an underdog?

Meanwhile, the favorite has a smaller decimal number and a lower risk (more likely to win the game). Note that favorites always have odds lower than 2.0. Underdogs always have odds higher than 2.0.

Why do sports use moneyline odds?

Sports like baseball rely solely on moneyline odds due to the lack of point spreads. Typically, moneyline odds are used when you have to pick a winner and a loser between two teams. Moneyline odds can also be used in other bet types like point spreads and totals.

What is the purpose of odds?

Odds are one of the indicators of whether or not a bet is worth making. Bookmakers (also called bookies) generate and offer these odds, which give bettors an idea how much their payout will be if they win the bet. Oddsmakers adjust the odds to balance out the action on both sides of every game.

What does it mean when a bet is pushed on a moneyline?

In some cases, the game results are a tie (a draw). For a bet to ‘push’ on a moneyline, the game should have ended in a tie and a tie or draw was not one of the bet options. In sports betting, a push happens when there’s a tie between the bettor and the bookmaker or sportsbook.

What do you need to know about NFL betting?

You’ll need to know how the rotation number, point spread, moneyline and over/under are used and what each means.

Why do bookmakers use odds?

Bookmakers use odds to even out the bets, getting gamblers to wager on both sides of the line by leveling the playing field. Although there is overall parity in the NFL, there are teams that are haves and others that are have-nots.

What does it mean when you bet on the Colts?

If you bet on the Colts at -10.5, which means they are favored, they must win by 11 or more for you to collect on your bet. If you wager on Cincinnati, which is the underdog, your bet pays off if they win the game outright or if they lose by less than 11.

What is the spread of a moneyline called?

Each of these terms may be called by another name. The rotation number if often referred to as the number or the rotation mark, moneyline becomes line, point spread is called the spread, and over/under becomes the total. When you come down to it, these are the major terms that can be lumped under the heading odds.

How much can you win on a dollar spread?

For every dollar bet, you can win 90 cents. When checking out the spread, you’ll usually see a number listed next to each spread. That number, which is your stake, is posted as -110. This number tells you how much you have to bet to win $100. If you put $110 on either team, you stand to win $100.

Why do we use rotation numbers?

The number becomes a way to refer to the game and team without mentioning the teams name. It’s a sort of shorthand. Also, the rotation number allows each book to list the games in the same order—numerically. It is, in essence, a way to keep all of the games that are posted each day and throughout the week organized.


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